Understanding Uncertainty — One principle to rule them all

You could do worse — far worse – today than visit statistician David Spiegelhalter's Understanding Uncertainty.

Siegenthaler is Worten Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk at the University of Cambridge.

I will go out on a limb — something which constant readers know is not something I do more than once or twice a day — and say that there is nothing — NOTHING — you can do with your time today (or any day) that will benefit you more in the long run than spending a little time with the good professor.

And that's all I'm gonna say about that because I'd much rather explore this singular, exciting resource.

Fair warning: There goes the rest of your life.*

*Assuming that you, like me, believe that there is inherent uncertainty at the most finely grained level of reality as opposed to things being already predetermined.

Do you believe in free will?

Or are you, as philosopher Nick Bostrom believes more likely than not, living in a computer simulation?

The choice is yours.

Unless it's not.